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Cake day: July 6th, 2023

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  • yesman@lemmy.worldtoScience Memes@mander.xyzChance
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    1 day ago

    It turns out that it’s hard to tell the future. Polls have to make assumptions and the safest assumption is that this election is going to look like elections in the past. From the early voting data, we know that this election isn’t like 2016, or 2020, and what that tells us pretty reliably is that the polls are wrong.

    This is how Trump got an upset in 2016, he turned out loads of people who normally don’t vote, and were therefore underrepresented in the polling. It is likely that many of these same voters are going to sit it out this year while all the polls are counting them double.







  • IQ does show differences between the races. However, this isn’t evidence that white supremacy is correct. It’s evidence that IQ testing measures culture when it’s supposed to be measuring biology.

    Race is constructed. Genetic, evolutionary, anthropological, and archeological evidence all point to shared ancestry and kinship. All the people’s of the world aren’t separated by near enough distance or time to explain a significant biological difference. And that’s ignoring the wide interbreeding that was always a thing. Remember Rome was cosmopolitan empire. Many of those Roman soldiers who marched down the first paved roads of London were swinging black cocks.

    So what can we make of a so called “objective” measure of a “biologically determined” trait that hews to culture above biology? This isn’t just a bias that needs to be tweaked, the whole concept of biologically determined intelligence is a reification fallacy and IQ as an instrument is hopelessly broken and should be abandoned.






  • yesman@lemmy.worldtoScience Memes@mander.xyzCognitive Biases
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    14 days ago

    YSK: the Dunning-Kruger effect is controversial because it’s part of psychology’s repeatability problem.

    Other famous psychology experiments like the ‘Stanford prison experiment’ or the ‘Milgram experiment’ fail to show what you learned in psych101. The prison experiment was so flawed as to be useless, and variations on the Milgram experiment show the opposite effect from the original.

    For those familiar with the Milgram experiment: one variation of the study saw the “scientist” running the test replaced with a policeman or a military officer. In these circumstances, almost everybody refused to use high voltage.